Wednesday Service Play Thread 10/20/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[Jk1989]

Bryan Leonard
E% Appalachian st +3

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=355&p=13621089&viewfull=1#post13621089

 

[BuzzKill]

Rob Veno

Game: (517) Houston Rockets at (518) Minnesota Timberwolves
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D%
Play: Total Over 227.5 (-110)
D% Houston @ Minnesota OVER 227.5
Looking to the extensive Wednesday for this selection as a pair of squads looking to ascend in the standings face each other. The common philosophy shared by the second-year head coaches involved here is their desire to push the tempo. Houston HC Stephen Silas wants to capitalize on his team’s youth and speed utilizing a system that plays fast and shots fast. It’s much the same for Timberwolves' HC Chris Finch who began implementing an up-tempo system for the final 29 games last year when he took over for ex-HC Ryan Saunders. Finch is looking to his star PG D’Angelo Russell to keep the tempo high and get Minnesota into some early actions. Injuries at the PG position could require extra minutes from Russell in this one which creates the potential for an extended period of high tempo. Most importantly for the T-Wolves, their explosive, high-scoring starting lineup is healthy to start the season. The multiple scoring options have the ability to cause problems for the Rockets who are just learning to play defense as a unit has been together for less than a month. Minnesota may have defensive growing pains as well since they are shifting the way they defend “pick and roll”. Starting C Karl Anthony-Towns will no longer play drop coverage and the T-Wolves will depend on their low men to shift quickly and defend the rim. Two high octane offenses squaring off against an opponent in the learning process on defense indicates a potentially high-scoring game. Houston closed last season going 7-1 “Over” the total and the last 15 meetings between these teams have seen 11 go “Over” (73.3%). Strong fundamental & technical signals here pointing toward this one heading into the 230+ neighborhood.
Recommendation: Houston-Minnesota OVER 227.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Hakeem Profit (WagerTalk) NBA futures

NBA SEASON WIN TOTALS
Game: NBA SEASON WIN TOTALS
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: C%
Play: Celtics over 46.5 wins (-115)

NBA DIVISION BEST BET
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: A%
Play: Celtics to win Atlantic Division (+750)

NBA SEASON WIN TOTALS
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: B%
Play: Sixers under 51.5 Wins (-120)

NBA SEASON WIN TOTAL
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: B%
Play: Pacers over 42.5 wins (-120)
Pacers over 42.5 wins (-120)

 

[BuzzKill]

Carmine Bianco

WEDNESDAY 5% CHAMPIONS LEAGUE TOP PLAY
Game: (224389) Villarreal at (224390) Young Boys
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: E%
Play: Villarreal +118

Champions League - Villarreal at Young Boys
Quick Synopsis: loaded Monday afternoon
The play is Villarreal +118

 

[bribux]

romariobtts eu

Champions League
Barcelona – Dyn. Kyiv
Both to score : YES
Odds : 1.95

 

[BuzzKill]

Alan Scozzari

Champions League
Atalanta +0,5 +1 -110

 

[BuzzKill]

james-martingale

EUROPE: Champions League
Lille - Sevilla
Second Half : Over 1.5 Goals
Odds : 2.30 / 1 units

 

[BuzzKill]

Pickswise Sports

Soccer Wednesday
C* Best Bet - Chelsea -200 (To Win by shutout)

CFB
B* Coastal Carolina -4
A* Under 61.5

NBA
B* Wizards/Raptors Over 218
B* Cavaliers +7.5
B* 76ers -150 (Moneyline)
B* Suns -6

NHL
B* Bruins -135

 

[BuzzKill]

BTC Sport

Game: (224377) Juventus at (224378) Zenit Petersburg
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Juventus -0.25 (-115)
UEFA maintains a power ratings system for its leagues based on how well teams do in competitions like the Champions League, Europa League, etc.. The Russian league is ranked ninth and is only decimal points better than the Scottish and Ukrainian leagues. That's not good. When Scotland, Austria and the Ukraine are playing comparable (or better) soccer, then you know the Russian league is officially struggling. Zenit has lost its last two matches within that poor Russian league that I just mentioned, and they've lost seven of their last nine Champions League matches. At the time of posting, Juventus -0.25 is available at Pinnacle (-111); DraftKings (-110); and Barstool (-115). Half of our stake is on Juventua -0.5 and the other half is on draw-no-bet. If Juventus wins the match, we win our full stake. If the match ends in a draw, we lose half our stake. The only way we lose our full stake is if Zenit wins the match.

 

[BuzzKill]

Steve Fezzik

CFB Wednesday Best Bet
Coastal Carolina

 

[BuzzKill]

R & R TOTAL

Game: (511) Boston Celtics at (512) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 7:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Over 217.0 (-115)

TOP NBA Over-Under

NOTE: Play at 219 over better

Game: (521) Oklahoma City Thunder at (522) Utah Jazz
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 9:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Over 221.0 (-110)

TOP NBA Over-Under

NOTE: Play at 223 or better

Game: (525) Denver Nuggets at (526) Phoenix Suns
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Under 223.0 (-110)

TOP NBA Over-Under

NOTE: play at 221 or better

Game: (63) St. Louis Blues at (64) Vegas Golden Knights
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 10:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Over 5.5 (-120)

TOP NHL Over-Under

NOTE: Play at 5.5 or better. Only play at 6 if you absolutely must.

 

[BuzzKill]

vipcomboticket

Manchester v Atalanta : Manchester Over 1.5 @ 1.55
Fulham v Cardiff : Fulham Over 1.5 @ 1.55

Total Odds : 2.40

 

[BuzzKill]

JM Sports

Game: (307) Coastal Carolina at (308) Appalachian State
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: J units
Play: Coastal Carolina -4.0 (-110)
Who would have thought that this Sun Belt conference match-up could be this exciting? A few years back we were amazed that Appalachian St pulled off the upset of the decade over Michigan. Yet now we have a 4-2 Appalachian State team taking on the #14 ranked Coastal Carolina. Coastal Carolina is the biggest cinderella story of the year, they have covered their L3 games all by double digits. Which isn’t that much of a surprise considering they have an offense that is #1 in the FBS in YPG differential (+284), PPG differential (+33.8), PPG (48.8), YPP differential (+4.37), AND YPP (8.82)!! Just a reminder that these are rankings throughout the entire FBS, they also come in the top 10 in YPG (#2 -554), YPG allowed (#5 - 270), PPG allowed (#8 - 15), and YPP allowed (#9 - 4.45), on top of (+12) in sack differential, while picking up 2 turnovers in the L2W. The Chanticleers have been even better vs. conference opponents and in the L3W they are averaging almost 57 PPG while allowing under 10 points to opponents, and out-gaining opponents by 389 yards on average. During that streak they have 9 sacks without allowing a sack themselves, and some people may question the ability of the opposition but they blew out Arkansas State who is #39 in YPG & #55 in PPG, even if they defense is sub-par, but Buffalo is another offense in the top half of the FBS. Appalachian State on the other hand has won 3 out of the L4 but they have only covered 1 of those 4 games. They may be searching for another Michigan miracle if they plan on taking down this ranked team, because 0-2 ATS @ H, (-3) in turnovers, (-61.5) in YPG differential and losing 11 turnovers is not going to help them, especially if they show up like they did against ULL LW, posting just 13 points on 211 yards, all while losing 4 turnovers. ULL also put up 41 points on 455 yards, almost 11 points & 50 yards over their season average. All of this on top of the fact that Coastal is coming off a week of rest, after the 685 yards they put up against Arkansas St, their second game of the season with 4+ sacks, and adding to what is now a 2-0-1 record following a 50 point performance TY.

 

[ryangenero]

Football Jesus MLB Free pick RED SOX

 

[BuzzKill]

NBA Sharp Action

7 p.m. ET: Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons
Both of these Central Division foes finished with sub .500 records and missed the playoffs last season, with the Bulls going 31-41 and the Pistons finishing 20-52. Chicago loaded up in the offseason, swinging a trade for DeMar Derozan and signing Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso. The Pistons added top pick Cade Cunningham in the draft, although the Oklahoma State star is going to miss this game with a sprained ankle. This line opened with Chicago listed as a 3-point road favorite. Once Cunningham was ruled out, an overload of money steamed the Bulls, driving Chicago up from -3 to -5. The Bulls' win total this season is 42.5 at BetMGM. The Pistons' win total is 24.5. Chicago went a perfect 4-0 in the preseason. Detroit went 2-2.

8 p.m. ET: Philadelphia 76ers at New Orleans Pelicans
This non-conference showdown is one of the most heavily bet games of the night, thanks in large part to the drama created by the suspended and insubordinate star of the 76ers, Ben Simmons. The 76ers finished 49-23 last season and the Pelicans 31-41. The early lookahead line on this game was Philadelphia -1 on the road. Heavy 76ers money steamed this line all the way up to -4.5. Once the news of Simmons missing this game with suspension broke, the line quickly dropped from 4.5 to 3. Essentially all late money is breaking toward the Pelicans at home getting points. New Orleans is also one of your top contrarian plays of the night. Philadelphia's win total is 50.5. New Orleans' win total is 39.5.

8 p.m. ET: Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies
These non-conference opponents finished with polar opposite campaigns last season. The Cavs went 22-50 while the Grizzlies went 38-34 and made the playoffs. This line opened with Memphis listed as an 8-point home favorite. The public sees an easy win and cover the Grizzlies. However, despite this lopsided betting towards Memphis, the line has fallen from 8 to 7.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement grabbing the points with the road dog Cavs. Over the past decade, backing teams on Opening Night who has 25 or less wins the previous year has covered at roughly a 60-percent clip. Cleveland's win total is 26.5 and Memphis' 41.5.

More Wednesday Moves
Celtics-Knicks Over 216 to 218.5
Pacers-Hornets Under 228 to 223.5
Kings-Blazers Over 230.5 to 232.5
Kings 5.5 to 5 at Blazers
Magic-Spurs Under 214 to 212.5
Knicks -1 to -2 vs Celtics

 

[BuzzKill]

Sean Murphy

NHL total on Over in Vegas

 

[BuzzKill]

AAA

NCAA total on Over Coastal Carolina

 

[BuzzKill]

Tony George

F Units - #915 / #916 Houston / Boston (Over 9.5) *5 EST